Severe weather looks likely across Mid-Missouri from tonight through Thursday evening. Here is the breakdown:
Wednesday: The afternoon today should remain primarily on the dry side, however, with a warm front draped right across central Missouri, popup thunderstorms canâ??t be ruled out late this afternoon and evening, though the chance seems low at this point. If any storm do develop this afternoon and evening, they have the potential to become severe. The main threats will be large hail and some damaging wind, the tornado threat for Wednesday afternoon remains well on the low end. Heavy rain will also be a concern with any storms that do develop.
Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms will blossom again over the area (like we saw last night and this morning). These storms have the chance of being on the severe side. The main threats with overnight storms will be large hail and extremely heavy rainfall.
Thursday: Expect showers and thunderstorms early in the morning but those should move out after sunrise.
After morning storms move out, expect skies to become partly to mostly sunny as the warm front in the area moves into northern Missouri. This will allow temperatures and moisture to soar across the area. Temperatures will likely be in the lower 70s. During the early afternoon (after 1 pm) a cold front will approach the area from the west. This will spark off showers and thunderstorms, first across the western portions of the viewing area. These initial storms will likely be in the form of supercells which will have the potential to produce all modes of severe weather (very large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes). These supercells will last several hours and move through western and central Missouri. As the evening goes on and storms move through central and eastern Missouri, they will morph into a line of powerful thunderstorms. The main threats will be damaging winds, large hail and isolated tornadoes.
Storms should be out of Mid-Missouri after midnight when calmer and cooler weather moves in for Friday and the weekend.
Thursday looks like it has the potential to be a particularly violent day of weather. All the ingredients that we, as meteorologist, look at for severe weather to occur, appear to be coming together across our region.
This forecast will likely change a bit as we get more information in; please check back through the day today, tonight and early tomorrow morning for future updates.
The time is now to think about your severe weather plan: Where will you go if severe weather threatens your area? Do you have ways of getting information if you are away from home/work or driving in your car? Do you have more than one way to receive severe weather information if the power goes out?
Follow the KRCG 13 StormVison Weather Team for the latest on mid-Missouri weather.